Rand on firmer ground

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Published Oct 1, 2015

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Johannesburg - South Africa's rand started the fourth quarter firmer against the dollar, drawing strength from overnight gains in emerging market currencies as well as slightly better-than-expected data out of China.

Stocks rallied in early trade along with Asian peers, rebounding strongly from a recent sell-off, with the Top-40 index opening 0.75 percent higher at 45,216 points.

Government bonds mirrored the local currency as yields fell across the curve, with the benchmark 2026 issue shedding 6.5 basis points at 8.395 percent.

By 07h10 GMT the rand had gained 0.94 percent to 13.7250 per dollar compared with Wednesday's New York close.

“This strength was a function of a renewed risk-on environment which allowed the ZAR and other EM currencies to recover ground in relation to the USD,” said Peter Worthington, an economist at Barclays.

Emerging market currencies took another breather after a bruising third quarter following a sharp sell-off of risky assets on concerns over the timing of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike and a slowdown in China's economy mounted.

Following this morning's slightly better-than-expected China Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), the rand regained momentum after closing 13.8550 in the previous session.

Further gains were capped by a significantly larger than expected 9.95 billion rand domestic trade deficit driven by a 5.9 percent on a month-on-month basis contraction in exports.

“During the remainder of 2015, exports are likely to improve as production activity normalises, while the weakness of the rand will add support,” said Busisiwe Radebe, an economist at Nedbank.

REUTERS

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