When a trade war becomes a shooting war
By Max Boot | Published Apr 17, 2025
In this analysis, Max Boot revisits Graham Allison’s “Thucydides Trap” theory to warn that the US-China trade war could spiral into something far more dangerous. Boot traces historical parallels - from WWI to Pearl Harbor - to show how economic strife often precedes armed conflict. As Trump’s extreme tariffs and China’s retaliatory measures deepen the rift, he argues that only cool heads and diplomatic compromise can steer the world away from disaster.